Who was once thought to be nothing more than a reality television icon, Donald Trump, the carnival barker himself, has extended his lead over what most Republicans view as their standard bearers - Marco Rubio and/or John Kasich, (Ted Cruz is still considered an "outsider" and Bush, Fiornia, Christie, Huckabee, Santorum, have all been forced to drop out). Why then the sudden surprise from the GOP Establishment? Right-Wing Media has been scaring the hell out of their loyal audiences claiming among other things, that Obama was to blame for everything from Ebola to taking guns away from lawful citizens while Hillary Clinton personally murdered four Americans in Benghazi. The very same Media that magnifies crime in America as if it is just one bullet away from your front door and promotes the only way to have peace is for every American to openly carry weapons. Who then is really surprised when Americans react positively to Trump's call to make other countries obey the United States...or else!? As the GOP Establishment attempts to push Rubio to the forefront, they just can't seem to help themselves. From the polls and actual voting results, most Republicans that have followed the vitriolic lead of its supporting Media is willing to cast aside the GOP Establishment in favor of firebrands like Cruz - and their new leader (by default), Donald Trump. But why all the handwringing? Because the GOP knows they can never win the White House with Cruz or Trump as their nominee! The solution? Is there one? Whatever solutions they may have, they begin to fade as more primaries are won by Trump and the actual reality that the Party may suffer irrevocable damage to their "brand." And tis damage may affect the Party's efforts to maintain control of the United States Senate! (See: http://www.politicususa.com/2016/02/24/republicans-rocked-polls-show-4-senators-lose-seats-obstructing-obama.html).
As you may know, there are many GOP Senators up for re-election from States that went to Obama in 2012. States that have populations that are paying attention to the current efforts by the GOP-led Senate to obstruct rather than lead (as promised). You see, the death of Justice Scalia has already had a tremendous impact on this year's presidential race. The issue of filling a vacancy on the High Court is rapidly becoming what is known as a "Wedge Issue" - one where voters may come out to vote just to voice their collective opinions on who should be nominating future vacancies on the Court. As a "Wedge Issue", the political base of both parties may result in one of the highest voter turnouts in a long time. Up to Scalia's death, the Republicans had been enjoying higher than originally predicted turnout at the caucuses and primaries while the Democrats have been seeing only moderate numbers of voters participating. But now that the future of the Supreme Court is an issue, you can expect both parties to use this issue to energize its base come this Fall. Sound about right? Sure, except the Republicans should be wary because the Court issue will also bring out Independents as well - and many of those have traditionally voted for the Democrats when it comes to social issues (See http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/02/24/scalias-supreme-court-vacancy-draws-much-public-interest-unlike-past-open-seats/). So buckle in folks, it's going to be a fun ride. We will have a better understanding of the Fall campaign once Super Tuesday is completed this week. Clinton should have a clearer path to the nomination while the Republicans hold their breath. If polling is accurate, "The Donald" may just begin to pull away from the remaining GOP field. And that may create a scenario better found in a "Reality" show's script.
As President George H.W. Bush once wrote; "I think the 24-hour news cycle has helped exaggerate the differences between the parties. You can always find someone on TV somewhere carping about something. That didn't happen 20 years ago." When is reality not really reality? I guess we shall find out soon enough. Have a great week!